COTY · Coty Inc
The AI's read
Coty missed Q4 EPS and gave first-quarter adjusted EPS guidance below estimates, then warned the Gucci Beauty license exit will cut FY28 sales and profit. The headline miss plus guidance shortfall triggered a sharp pre-market drop. The market has already knocked the stock down about 11% pre-market, so some of the pain is priced in but the Gucci exit is a longer-term earnings headwind. Valuation metrics aren’t stretched, so further downside depends on how the guidance and FY28 hit are parsed. We lean bearish because the company combined an EPS miss with weaker guidance and a structural revenue loss from the Gucci exit. Positioning should reflect higher idiosyncratic risk and the market’s initial negative read.