GDX · VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF
The AI's read
China quietly bought far more gold than it reports, with an estimated +40 tonnes in June via the London OTC market, 167% above the official +15 tonnes. That raises immediate physical demand and improves the revenue outlook for miners. GDX is already up about 3.4% on the news, so some of the move is priced in. But central-bank scale accumulation is steadier and bigger than retail/ETF flows, so miners likely have additional upside. We lean bullish on GDX at reduced size because the macro regime is a downtrend and the market already rallied. Keep tight risk controls; treat this as a conviction play, not a full-sized bet.