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Charlie Bilello says that analysts are more positive than ever about the S&P 500, which means less chance for big gains.

OpinionRead the original at Benzinga
Neutral

SPY tracks the S&P 500, where 60% of stocks have record-high Buy ratings, leaving less room for good surprises. Raised profit estimates, including expected growth of 29.5%, and a projected 21% index gain point the other way, leaving SPY's outlook unchanged.

SPY · SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

AI read · Neutral

The AI's read

The warning matters because broad confidence can make good results less surprising. But analysts have raised profit estimates and expect 29.5% growth. They also project a 21.3% index gain over 12 months. Investors pay about 19 times the index's expected profit, below its 5-year average of 19.8 times and 10-year average of 19.1 times. These favorable estimates and targets conflict with the warning. The story does not show which side will prevail, so it does not change SPY's outlook.

QQQ · Invesco QQQ Trust ETF

AI read · Neutral

The connection

QQQ tracks the Nasdaq-100, but the ratings and profit forecasts in this report concern the S&P 500. The story gives no clear new reason to change QQQ's outlook.

DIA · State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust

AI read · Neutral

The connection

DIA tracks the Dow, but the ratings and profit forecasts in this report concern the S&P 500. The story gives no clear new reason to change DIA's outlook.

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