APP · AppLovin Corp.
The AI's read
AppLovin missed Q2 revenue by a hair and shares plunged about 16% after-hours. Management blames timing and says a delayed ML model went live early July and immediately lifted performance. The market already knocked price down hard and APP is oversold with RSI 28.68. Q3 guidance of $2.055–2.085B is roughly in line with Street, implying limited forward damage. We lean bullish because the catalyst is specific, deployed, and guidance matches expectations, so downside looks capped. Watch rising data center costs and execution risk; conviction 84%.