ASTS · AST SpaceMobile Inc.
The AI's read
ASTS reported Q2 revenue of $31.52M, up from $1.16M, but missed estimates and widened its adjusted loss. Management reaffirmed 2026 revenue guidance and highlighted a 13-spacecraft constellation plus about $1.30B in backlog, which matters for future sales. The stock only moved ~1.9% and RSI sits at 65.4, so the market hasn’t fully re-priced a positive execution outcome. Guidance midpoint is above Street estimates, leaving room for upside if beta services and ramp go as planned. We lean bullish because the guidance and backlog create asymmetric upside versus the modest market move. Conviction is tempered by the miss, wider loss, and the current consolidation regime, so this is idiosyncratic and needs clean execution.